01 THE DECISION
ILLUSTRATIVE BASE CASE

Sell nowunless going car-free costs more than $503/month.

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Replace the working cash-offer estimate before acting.

DECISION-DRIVING INPUTS

Working cash offer
$29,500
Current payoff
$42,500
Parking
$300/mo
Car-free spending
$200/mo

The offer is a starting estimate—not a live purchase offer.

02 WHY THIS ANSWER

The exit gap is real. The savings are larger.

Four numbers separate the cash required today from the economics over five years.

FIVE-YEAR ADVANTAGE

Lower projected cost

EXIT GAP TODAY

Payoff minus the working cash offer

CAR-FREE SPENDING LIMIT

Average monthly break-even over five years

POSITIVE EQUITY

Positive equity is not the decision date.

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03 FIVE-YEAR COST

Selling now avoids $18,152 of five-year cost

Nominal dollars from today. Both paths end with no car and no car loan, making them directly comparable.

SELL NOW LOWER COST
5-year net cost
Payoff gap today
Transit + rideshare
Net cost
KEEP 5 YEARS HIGHER COST
5-year net cost
Remaining loan payments
Parking
Other ownership costs
Less ending equity
Net cost
BASE-CASE DIFFERENCE

04 THE EQUITY TRAP

Positive equity arrives in Sep 2028—but waiting costs $13,974

9% is an illustrative base; 7%, 12% and 18% are sensitivity cases, not forecasts. Optional mileage sensitivity compares future driving with a 10,000-mile baseline.

05 THE COST OF DELAY

Every year of delay raises five-year cost

DATE EST. MILES VEHICLE VALUE DEPRECIATION TO DATE LOAN PAYOFF EQUITY PARKING PAID ALTERNATIVE TRANSPORT AFTER SALE 5-YEAR COST IF SOLD
06 MAKE IT YOURS

Tune the assumptions

BEFORE YOU ACT Validate the decision with same-day numbers.
  1. Refresh the lender payoff.
  2. Get at least two VIN-specific cash purchase offers.
  3. Replace the car-free and ownership-cost placeholders with realistic monthly budgets.

Confirm Plus vs. Ultra from the VIN or window sticker. The presets are rounded market starting points accessed July 13, 2026—not purchase offers.

Market + loan
Monthly life
Projection

Insurance and other car costs default to $0. This understates the cost of keeping, so any sell advantage shown before adding them is conservative.

07 WHAT'S IN THE MODEL

Method + market anchors

01

Actual payoff wins

The projection starts at your $42,500 payoff. The original $51,527.14 financed amount and $48,950 sticker are historical context—not inputs to today’s decision.

02

Principal is not a cost

Loan principal becomes vehicle equity. The forward economic costs are depreciation, interest, parking and operating costs, compared with transit and rideshare.

03

Market value is a range

Current estimates vary sharply by trim and sale channel. Refresh the lender payoff on the same day you get VIN-specific cash offers, then replace the preset.